Posts Tagged ‘rants’

Ecosystems and the myth of overpopulation

January 11th, 2023 No comments

This post is about a topic I am quite interested in, “triggered” by a post by the Copenhagen Institute for Future Studies discussing, contrary to what is mainstream now, the question of whether causal relationship between population growth and biodiversity decline exists or if discourse surrounding supposed ‘overpopulation’ actually do more harm than good?

While I wish the interview linked to in the referenced post went a bit deeper exploring the topic, it is high time that other voices bring this to the fore. The (disproved) Malthusian anti-human speech from the supposedly ecologist leftist mainstream is an entrenched meme of the political Zeitgeist, but the bidirectional relationship between population, especially population in rural areas, and biodiversity has not been paid any attention, probably as it does not fit the underlying goals of said mainstream and their ultimate goals.

General population decline and increasing concentration of that declining population in just a few cities in each country hurt the long term prospects of agricultural and livestock farming (non-industrial) activities but the preservation of rural ecosystems is in symbiosis with those activities. During electioneering cycles much lip service is paid by governments and institutions to this loss of rural population (not so much to the general population decline and skewed population pyramids, since the Ehrlich-like ideas still permeates their thinking) but not a lot seems to be actually being done.

As the article says, “we need to do is find out how we can sustain that transition to higher quality lifestyles without massively increasing the rate of consumption. A myopic focus on population control will not get us there.” Paradoxically forcing people to concentrate in a few cities probably leads to worse consumption patterns, like importing foods from further places, loss of quality of life, cultural heritage loss and so on.

The abandonment of said economic activities means a greater depopulation in large economically marginal spaces that will make it difficult to manage new extensive forest masses created naturally or by reforestation, which brings a growing virulence of forest fires we see during Summer in South Europe, leading to greater desertification. This is a vicious feedback loop which accelerates rural population loss and abandonment of large areas of land, a problem especially notable in places like Spain. Crop abandonment means that local food is also no longer produced and the countryside is left to waste with no proper management (wildfires again).

This situation leads to a kind of rural desertification caused by the break of an ecosystem that had been in place for years, maybe even centuries. Such changes also affect the local fauna already adapted to that ecosystem.

Efforts for vegetation recovery is costly in terms of economic investment, which will only be amortized in the longer term if there are incentives and economic activities that ensure its protection and viability. Even if publicly funded, you need to tax that capital first, and for that you need a productive economy, which can only be made to work by a non-declining population with enough younger people that will become eventual producers and consumers for services and products. I’d argue we need more people, not less, to not only keep our current economic systems running as well as our wealth and welfare levels, but also to improve and innovate on them, as mentioned by the article. Less people ultimately means less economic incentives for investment as there is less market for good and services. Therefore, not only depopulation but also deindustrialization, some sort of undefined rollback.

It is an uncomfortable fact that only richer societies can afford the luxury of taking good care of their environment.

Speed of understanding

December 4th, 2015 No comments

Is your code easy to understand, can someone new to the codebase grasp quickly most of the intent of the code? What is the speed of understanding of your code.While this is basically the old idea that code should be readable by humans – that includes business people and managers ūüėČ -, what strategies and tactics can you put in place to gain speed of understanding as an intrinsic quality in your codebase?The thing is that very rarely someone who actually wrote the code is the one that will also maintain for the entire lifetime of the software (and, well, even in that case, knowledge about a codebase is one of the most ephemeral things in life, especially in the case of significant – read, large – codebases).

When a codebase is not so well organized, it very quickly becomes so confusing that even the original team members find themselves scrambling and frantically searching through the codebase in order to find that snippet they wanted to reuse, that pesky function the name of which they can’t recall ( for some reason, some pieces of code or some function names are much harder to commit to memory and find quickly. Treat that as a warning that some action is needed there!).I assume that we are naturally working in a OOP environment, which probably lends itself best, although of course functional languages and strange beasts like javascript can do the trick as well.Two of the strategies (or tactics maybe) that help the most are:


  • Use of DDD, a well codified plain-object domain that models / reflects your business, which is how DDD goes about creating a shared vocabulary between business and engineering. That will lead you to having a DSL for the business domain.
  • Write the client code first – the client code that you would like to have to write. This scenario is greatly enabled by having some DSL first, and, of course, hindered by not having that DSL in place. This is similar to using TDD in what some call “outside in” TDD.


These are for me strategies, more that mere tactics. Both are supported of course by TDD, as you can actually use TDD as a “discovery” too for that client code you want to be writing. However, I am willing to bet that if you have non-trivial business knowledge about your domain already, you can skip that process of discovery and write the code you want to see (as in “be the change you want to see”, you¬†know ), without that meaning “do not back up your code with tests.”¬† That being said,¬†¬†it is easier said than done of course.


governance frameworks


Now, there are tactics as well. Nothing trailblazing here:


  • Excellent naming conventions and the discipline to uphold them. It’s already a distant past when one had to save precious bytes by being skimpy on names. Not anymore. Probably only in the case of lambdas, pattern matching, etc. should you be getting away with names like, x, _, temp, and so on.
  • Good commenting habits (there is a lot on this in that great book – Code Complete)
  • Refactoring to small single-purpose functions.
  • Do not overdo the “look ma how smart I am”. Sometimes, they say write code that is not “so smart” (clever one-liners just because I can, nested ternary operators, complicated lambdas), and while that is true to the extent that you don’t want to write production code like this or this, that does not mean you do not take advantage of (relatively) “advanced” features in your language, for fear that other developers coming in later are not familiar with those. They might never learn those!
  • Consistent style in all things: naming, spaces, indenting.
  • Share the code. Have other developers from other teams have a look. Even ask a lay person, your boss for example, to guess what a piece of code does.


You need to use the strategies underpinned by the tactics to achieve that speed of understanding.Would there be a way to actually measure that quality of speed of understanding? I am not that smart to figure that out. Probably not in an absolute way, as there are different styles and preferences for programming – some like fluent api style, others call it the train wreck, for example.For the time being maybe,¬†it’s enough that you always keep that purpose in the back of your mind when coding, until it becomes a habit.
Let me have this as one purpose of mindfulness in coding from now on. Let’s be more aware of this when designing and coding.

Categories: coding, rants Tags: , ,

we don’t really have a strategy

June 12th, 2015 No comments

It is said a strategy has to have these components:

    • Purpose
    • Plan
    • Doable series of actions
    • Measurable goal(s)
    • A narrative

To this, I’d add that it is important as well to weight side effects as well as the validity of those goals. It could well be that a strategy could be beneficial in the short term, and disastrous in the long term, or cause a lot more damage to third parties (therefore, it is externalized and seems much less important) than the benefit it may bring.

Let me call them “risks” in a generic way. So a strategy must be iterative and open to revision at all times, if unforeseen results appear from those goals. Don’t fall for the trap of naive rationalization or the belief – wildly spread in politics today – of omniscience and infallibility. ¬†Most often, I think we do not know how to do strategy. ¬†And that probably we even can’t. It’s an illusion.

In both the business and the politics worlds, two elements are magnified and the important – and hard – stuff, neglected. We love simplified¬†narratives with clear – albeit fallacious¬†– causal relations, and we love the apparent purpose we made up in our heads – that is, we are focusing on the fairy-tale results, the dreamy end, the wishy-washy grand statements, and we want to obviate the hard part, which is designing your plan, deciding what work and efforts are needed, also to realistically assess if it’s doable at all in your context and then decide how you will measure success (or the lack thereof, in order to learn).

Assessment and measurement are to be done with metrics and numbers. These are notoriously and largely absent from political manifest and party programs for example – and nobody seems to be shocked by that glaring omission -, which are the perfect showcase of how the public at large prefers to focus on the narrative, the seduction part, and forget about the hard part (as bold as unsubstantiated slogans or mission statements as¬†“reclaim the city for the citizens”, “build a fairer more egalitarian society”, for example), and that is probably because politics is not only the art of the possible, but is as well about deceiving and seducing in order to nudge oneself and one own’s clique into a rent-seeking position of power.

But the business world is also full of grand purposes, transformation projects and strategies (a lot of them digital, these days) that remain just that, dreams and a lot of meetings.  A strategy should inspire, yes, but before that, you need to perspire and work hard to come up with one.  One that is backed by cold hard facts, by sensible reasoning and assessment, by taking into account what worked and failed in the past as well.  It does not have to be something very complicated. Something like this is probably enough to get started.

NARRATIVE Developing business CRUD applications for our clients can be very fun!
PURPOSE Position our company as a top software development boutique
PLAN Rather than rely on price-based race to the bottom competition, compete on quality and real value
ACTIONS Invest in quality training in bleeding-edge technology
Partner with great companies
and/or open source projects
position ourselves in the radar by writing blogs
speaking at conferences
publishing books or papers
MEASURABLE GOALS Are we getting more contracts?
Are we working with companies perceived to be leaders? what are your desired partners?
Have we moved into or towards thought-leader territory? if yes, how can you prove it?
Have we been able to raise fees and improve profit in projects? How much?
Are we delivering better and faster? Percentages, please?
RISKS Hard work is more prone to quitting
Complacency and relax
Harder to maintain momentum

I just came up with this in the time it takes to actually write it, so please excuse the simplicity, but I guess you have seen plenty of documents full of the three first points, and not so many of the other three, especially the last two.

Without those, a strategy is worthless.

Categories: rants, strategy Tags: ,

return of the conviction politician? WTF?

February 18th, 2015 No comments

I was reading this short article on the idea of the return of the “conviction politician” (whatever that might exactly be) and the, as of late, much adored, and hitherto unknown, Varoufakis. Frankly, this “conviction politician” idea does not seem to be that sound, if not downright scary. Were not Stalin, Mao or Hitler men of conviction too?

It’s a simple question, are we talking about a the management of a country or about vague, and mostly outdated, ideologies detached from reality, and in fact, impervious to it? Personal convictions usually rest on prejudices and ideologies that often are not amenable to any analysis of reality, and which tend to avoid realistic assessment of our environment when that assessment is going to yield results that do not fit in the range of acceptable results according to our set of beliefs.

It’s even funnier if you consider what would be the scenario if the “conviction politician” were to be one of traditional and/or religious convictions. ¬†I can almost hear the cries, the outrage, the indignation from the usual flank of leftish commentators, who in fact, are ferociously conservative and fascist.

However, if the “conviction politician” is one that shares my convictions – he’s one of our tribe, of our church – then it’s a good thing. ¬†It’s like freedom of expression, as long as it is my ideas that get voiced, all is well.

While a 100% technocratic with no “soul” approach is no good thing, having the wrong convictions and a twisted moral compass is no good either. Nothing proved that better that the worst moments of the XXth century, and the Soviets demonstrated what horrendous outcome results if you combine both things. If your approach is to appeal to solidarity after having binged on other people’s money,¬†and having issued public debt like crazy on the backs of future generations (now, that’s some fucking solidarity¬†as well), and the ask everyone to share the burden, what kind of proper and “right” conviction is that?

And that’s without even entering a discussion of one’s own idea of “right” vs. “what works” or “what has to be done” if you really want to do something for “the hungry in the streets of our cities”. ¬†“The hungry in the streets of our cities” have been created by the reckless fiscal and budgetary indiscipline of the state and its very poor management of the economy, its siphoning off of resources from the real economy to its own expenditure, be it on feeding the beast, be it on its numerous and tangled client network, lobbies and vested interests as well as the social engineering experiments it loves to indulge in; by its meddling with job¬†markets, by taxing companies into oblivion and discouraging individual initiative.

And of course by the absolute refusal to ever admit you were wrong, your policies were wrong or misfired. Never! It’s a sign of our times, this refusal to accept the consequences of our actions and decisions. We can see that across the entire gamut, from the single individual to the public sector and the state. It’s a habit that has permeated into the very fabric of what our societies are and the terms in which they think of themselves. Just like thingking that anything you do with the “right and good” intention has to be inherently right. It does not matter if those good intentions have unintended and wrecking consequences. It was done with good intentions in mind in the first place, so it is all justified.

There’s never any discussion of freeing up the economy, of loosening up the shackles the public sector has on the private sector, the sticks in the wheels. ¬†Apparently solutions must be found within a very narrow set of options, because there are many taboos. ¬†A very interested cadre of state lovers has succeeded in beatifying the state, pushing for the identification (confusion) between people and state, and often successfully. No matter how strong, your convictions and ideology aren’t feeding anybody, except maybe you. They become self-serving. ¬†More worried with saving face against the promises and the “red lines” that were constrained in the first place by your own convictions. Since the discussion seems to be Kantian and philosophical, I’d recommend revisiting the concept of Schuld in Nietzsche. Maybe that can help point the moral compass in the “right” direction.

Categories: contemporary, rants Tags: , ,

understimating testing at our own peril

February 16th, 2015 No comments

Software testing is routinely underplayed, ignored and underestimated when planning a software project. Testing is not a single thing, rather it consists of different tasks, most of which take more time than many seem to think. Sadly, it’s quite common to give little thought to these tasks, as well as the risks associated with each. The temptation to cut corners on testing seems to be irresistible, even when paying that tax later on hurts like hell. So what is testing made up of?

First, somebody needs to come with an adequate selection of test cases. Here it is important to remember that the more code paths and components involved the better. Here it is important to make a distinction between greenfield¬Ě projects, where test cases will likely be created by a stakeholder or a few of them with the most business knowledge, or in legacy projects ( sometimes called “brownfield”¬Ě although sometimes they deserve to be called “scorched earth”¬Ě projects¬†ūüėČ ), where it is not rare at all that source code has to be analyzed, to find undesirable coupling points, main code paths, unwritten business rules, kludges, etc. This is rarely taken into account. However there’s always a dark area that the stakeholders creating the pure logic cannot contemplate, and that is all the intricacies of internal state. Any sufficiently complex piece of software that has been maintained and enhanced over the years by different people will have more than its fair share of things such as hidden fields, flags with obscure names and purposes controlling flow, rare branches for particular situations multiplying the code paths, etc. It’s relatively easy to automate the testing of a calculator, not so easy to for a complex business application with hundred of inputs, edge cases, business scenarios, different workflows, etc.

The thing does not stop at selecting the cases; you need to take care of creating some sort of system, document, artifact that specifies the tests and leaves room to store the results, to at least, document the state of the system at a given point in time with regards to the test case selection, how many of them were satisfactory and how many weren’t.

Somebody needs to take care of executing that test case selection. Do you have dedicated people for testing? do you have some degree of test automation? According to the risk elements introduced in point 1, this gets more complicated and time consuming accordingly. Test execution is the part that’s probably more amenable to automation, but also architectural decisions made here can make it much harder. Think of distributed architectures, microservices that act / react asynchronously, hard – potentially hard to automate end to end.

Test result analysis. If all goes well, then nice, if not, errors have to be analyzed, traced, the input that caused them captured in order to reproduce scenarios. And we can also question ourselves about the quality of our oracle here, if it’s available and how accurate and correct it is. If we are to deduce correctness of test results from the specification, it may become very similar to exegesis of ancient texts and scriptures, that is, tedious, time consuming, error prone, unclear, and the basis for endless discussion about the interpretation of requirements.

Debugging of error scenarios. Potentially very time consuming.¬†Fault removal and regression testing. You do have unit tests at least, right?¬†Test maintenance. Tests and documentation maintenance seem to be the lowest caste in the software world. It’s not that they are often slashed off to “gain”¬Ě time, it’s that nobody wants to remember to do it. If not updated, their usefulness obviously vanishes quickly. Bringing up to date an obsolete test suite is another nasty effort.


get your umbrellas out for the impending shitstorm

In the case of big and hairy integration projects between different systems and components this is even more important. My experience is that in this sort of project the fallacy of perfect execution and the siren song of perfect planning contribute a lot to underestimating the time and effort to integrate components that have been developed separately and the testing of the subsequent assembled system. Additional factors such as geographically diverse teams and if different companies have been involved can only make it more complicated and time consuming.

Now, let’s travel mentally to that beautiful rare moment of calm at the very beginning of the project. This is not an cool and agile startup. We’re now in an old corporate behemoth. We do things differently here. So, we’re in this meeting and we’re guesstimating our deadlines, internal and otherwise and ballparking a release date that gets then set into stone. We all agree that 3 days for testing is enough. Yi-haaaaaa. And we said 3 days because after all, this is a project integrating SAP, with a BPM, with a web site, with a set of services, with whatever you want. (the use of 3 is just an example)

So we did it. We set up ourselves for a lot of pain when the time comes to assemble everything and test it. The old engineering mentality kicked in. We haven’t learned yet that software isn’t like that. Now you’re bound to a nerve-racking project end, the grand finale, as nobody thought the integration would be that hard,¬†we had specifications and countless meetings after all, right? and that so much testing and refinement would be needed. The problem is that this was not the first or the second time we did that kind of project. So what is keeping us from learning not to underestimate the importance of testing, the value that it adds to the product we put out there? Why do we keep making this mistake repeatedly? The answers to those questions can probably be very varied, depending on organizations, but most often, it will be variations on these


    • We have to deliver faster and faster every day
    • but we don’t have the right means or practices (we don’t write tests or do tdd, we don’t have continuous delivery or only a poor man version)
    • this is a web project, and in the web you can have things done in 5 minutes
    • We have promised this deadline to our stakeholders / clients – and yes, we promised that date the first thing in the project, before we knew what we had to do, the complexity of the challenge and even before consulting our tech staff , and as we promised this date our asses are now on the line


Thus we persist in these base mistakes and we ignore testing at our own peril and keep suffering as a consequence.

Categories: rants Tags: ,